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#1
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Join Date: Sep 2002
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How will they finish in the race for council? The Primary
What is your guess on how the candidates will finish in the race for city council? Not how you WANT them to finish, but how you THINK they will finish. It is too early for guessing the General Election. So here is my guess for the Primary coming up in early September. And yes, it is only my best Guess. Murphy Kandes Higgins Brady DiSanto Vaslo McPartlin Rutherford Cotter Lemuel The top finisher is a toss up between Murphy and Kandes. Based on his poor performance as Mayor Pro Tem, I think Kandes will take a hit in the Primary. He could recover by General Election time, but I see him slipping to #2 in the Primary. Higgins has the backing of the seniors. The Primary should be a very low turn out, even for a primary. The seniors will be a major factor. I see Higgins coming in 3rd and even giving a good run for #1. Brady will take a hit for the cellphone controversy. No matter the explanation, she has a lot of voters angry about the bills. She will have to fall on her sword and campaign hard for the General Election. If either DiSanto or Vaslo were stronger, I would see them passing Brady. But neither have the backing. They will retain their seats on the council, but they will not finish better than 5th and 6th. I do not see any of the four non-incumbants winning a seat on the city council. Only McPartlin has the name recognition to pull it off. It will depend on how much campaining he is committed to and how much bashing his critics have prepared for him. Rutherford? Ole Hockeyboy is always good to self destruct (he was the only candidate to go down in position from Primary to General Election in 2001). Plus, if he shows any strength, expect the mudslinging to come out against him. Cotter and Lemuel have a long uphill battle. They have to get out and let the voters know who they are. This "True Blue" slate thing will probably help Lemuel. He will be able to ride the coattails of Murphy and Brady. How strong they do is how strong he does. I do not see the slate doing that much for McPartlin. He has pretty good name recognition and he risks being pulled into the political mudslinging that Murphy and Brady will soon run into.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ recordar la yocorazon |
#2
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Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts/Thanks: 760/54 Thanked 153 Times in 99 Posts
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Re: How will they finish in the race for council? The Primary
Merely a guess. It'll be interesting to see next month how close any of us were. Kandes Murphy Higgins Vaslo Brady DiSanto McPartlin Lemuel Cotter Rutherford |
#3
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Join Date: Jan 2001
Posts/Thanks: 7,761/205 Thanked 218 Times in 159 Posts
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Re: How will they finish in the race for council? The Primary
Here's how I see it: Murphy Kandes or Brady Higgins or McPartlin DiSanto or Rutherford Cotter Lemuel Vaslo
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ "Sometimes we must serve in order to lead" by Unknown |
#4
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Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts/Thanks: 4,153/226 Thanked 208 Times in 159 Posts
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Re: How will they finish in the race for council? The Primary
I'm going to wait until I see the candidate profiles for Council, but I think that the race for Treasurer will be between Craig Sochocki and Mike Myers.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ "I'm sick and tired of hearing things from uptight, short sighted, narrow minded hypocrites. All I want is the truth, Just gimme some truth" - John Lennon |
#5
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Join Date: Jan 2001
Posts/Thanks: 7,761/205 Thanked 218 Times in 159 Posts
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Re: How will they finish in the race for council? The Primary
I was hoping to here Craig Sochocki's profile..that stinker didn't do one. I hope he takes me up on the offer for a free campaign site... If someone knows him well enough...can you call him and remind him of the free candidate site? |
#6
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Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts/Thanks: 760/54 Thanked 153 Times in 99 Posts
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Re: How will they finish in the race for council? The Primary
Quote:
I say it will be Lulko vs Sochocki, based solely on name recognition. Considering the election to narrow that race is less than a month away and none of the candidates that I can see have done a bang-up job of campaigning, I suspect it will come down to those two people as Myers remains a virtual unknown to most of the city. But then there's the campaign ads running on cable. Sochocki opted against recording one. So people may not even realize he's running if they are educated on the race solely from the TV. |
#7
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts/Thanks: 345/43 Thanked 92 Times in 63 Posts
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Re: How will they finish in the race for council? The Primary
Lulko is the administration candidate, Sochoki was the Mayor and has to have some base of support still. Myers is the odd man out. I have not heard of any literature being sent by Myers and I gotta beleive that your Absentee Ballots have gone out by now and the only flyer that went out that I know of was from Vaslo. Sochocki will be 1 and Lulko 2. I think Vaslo will do better than people here think.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Believe half of what you hear and none of what you read, especially in the News Herald! |
#8
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Join Date: Nov 2003
Posts/Thanks: 2,234/56 Thanked 222 Times in 156 Posts
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Re: How will they finish in the race for council? The Primary
I am going to go out on a limb and predict a shocker... 1.)Higgins wins Council Pres. 2.)Murphy 3.)Kandes 4.)DiSanto 5.)Brady 6.)Rutherford Vaslo McPartlin Cotter Lemuel |
#9
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Join Date: Sep 2002
Posts/Thanks: 2,315/8 Thanked 278 Times in 187 Posts
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Re: How will they finish in the race for council? The Primary
I can see Higgins finishing 1st in the Primary. It will be a low turnout and the senior vote will be a huge factor. Coming in 1st in the General Election is a different story, but it definately has a shot. |
#10
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Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts/Thanks: 873/236 Thanked 126 Times in 96 Posts
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Re: How will they finish in the race for council? The Primary
1.)Kandes 2.)Murphy 3.)Higgins 4.)Brady 5.)DiSanto 6.)McPartlin Lemuel Cotter Vaslo Rutherford this is how i think it will go |
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#11
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Join Date: Sep 2002
Posts/Thanks: 2,315/8 Thanked 278 Times in 187 Posts
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Re: How will they finish in the race for council? The Primary
That is now two predictions that Hockeyboy will finish dead last. |
#12
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Join Date: Sep 2004
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Re: How will they finish in the race for council? The Primary
Kandes Higgins Murphy Disanto Brady Rutherford Vaslo Cotter McPartlin Lemuel Meyers/ Sochocki
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If pro is the opposite of con? would CONgress be the oppositeof PROgress? |
#13
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts/Thanks: 345/43 Thanked 92 Times in 63 Posts
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Re: How will they finish in the race for council? The Primary
For Council Murphy Higgins Kandes Vaslo DiSanto McPartlin Brady Lemuel Rutherford Cotter I think Vaslo does better than expected. I think Brady pays the price for the cell phone issue. I think Kandes drops a couple notches and Higgins benefits from teh success and coverage fo the business expo. |
#14
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Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts/Thanks: 549/140 Thanked 60 Times in 45 Posts
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Re: How will they finish in the race for council? The Primary
Kandes Vaslo Cotter Higgins Murphy DiSanto McPartlin Brady Rutherford Lemuel |
#15
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Join Date: Oct 2003
Posts/Thanks: 6,819/433 Thanked 175 Times in 139 Posts
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Re: How will they finish in the race for council? The Primary
Murphy Higgins Disanto Kandes McPartlin Rutherford Lemuel Brady Vaslo Cotter
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#16
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Join Date: Sep 2002
Posts/Thanks: 2,315/8 Thanked 278 Times in 187 Posts
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Re: How will they finish in the race for council? The Primary
Quote:
It is quite possible that Brady would go down a couple of notches, but she will not lose her seat. Where a councilmember finishes only effects their ability to choose what department/organization they will be a liaison. Brady losing DPS would be the best thing for her political career. She hurts herself too often by standing up for them when they screwed up. On the other hand, they do not need to be constantly bashed like DiSanto used to do. But sometimes it is best to take your lumps. By defending them, she sometimes ended up putting more of a spotlight on them. I do not see any of the four candidates making a real challenge. The voters are not stirred. Perhaps when the mud gets to slinging, it will get the voters stirred. But for now they are content. Those behind the scenes are not going to waste their best stuff on the Primary. They will save it for October when the General Election is weeks away. |
#17
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Join Date: May 2004
Posts/Thanks: 1,409/107 Thanked 166 Times in 111 Posts
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Re: How will they finish in the race for council? The Primary
Murphy Kandes Higgins Brady Desanto Mcpartlin Rocky |
#18
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Join Date: Mar 2001
Posts/Thanks: 419/34 Thanked 55 Times in 41 Posts
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Re: How will they finish in the race for council? The Primary
Quote:
The True Blue Team sent out a flyer to all of the Absentee Voters last Friday and I have been going Door to Door a little, plan on more next week. By the time of the Primary, most likely voters will have met me. I don't have a big campaign budget, so I have to pound the pavement.
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I'd rather burn up than fade away!
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#19
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts/Thanks: 64/0 Thanked 14 Times in 7 Posts
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Re: How will they finish in the race for council? The Primary
Murphy Brady Kandes Higgins Disanto Mcpartlin They are trying to take Murphy and Brady down a few notches but they have tried that before. It doesnt work. People know who helps them and who is working on the council. |
#20
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Join Date: Jan 2001
Posts/Thanks: 7,761/205 Thanked 218 Times in 159 Posts
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Re: How will they finish in the race for council? The Primary
Thanks for reminding me... I will scan and post the Absentee Flyer from the True Blue Team... I will get it up in the next couple of hours...I have eat some dinner right now. |
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